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Long Term Trends in Gun Sales Remain Strong

Friday, September 22, 2017

Long Term Trends in Gun Sales Remain Strong

Discussion of the state of the firearms industry began again with the release of the August NICS numbers. Allegations of a fading industry recur every month. Obama was the greatest gun salesman ever, Hillary Clinton almost was, and Trump may be the worst yet. 

Few descriptions of the intersection between a Constitutional right, an industry, and policy are that simple or that shortsighted. 

The immediate response is that there were more NICS background checks last month than in any August before and that the first eight months of 2017 would already qualify as the 7th busiest year in NICS history even without the busy holiday months. The long-term numbers tell a more interesting story, and one that hopefully does not need to be revisited every month for the remainder of the Trump Administration.

Look at the January-August trend since the inception of NICS:

The long-term trend is clear…more so when you consider that 27 states now accept a valid firearm permit or license to purchase a firearm as a substitute for a NICS check. Legal purchases by permit or license holders in these states are not necessarily included in the NICS totals.  Though NICS checks are not a perfect indicator of firearms sales, the fact that permit holders in more than half the states can legally purchase a firearm without a NICS check does suggest that total sales are likely higher. 

Looking at the annual records check by type shows that checks for permits, handguns, and long guns have all increased over time. Again, the long-term trend is clear. Keep in mind that we only have three-quarters of 2017 in the books:

Checks for permits, handguns, and long guns all rose fairly steadily since the early 2000s.

The overlooked aspect of this story every month is that firearms are durable goods, especially with proper maintenance. Cars, lawn mowers, DVD players, and laptops all break down eventually. Firearms can last generations.

And every year, more Americans purchase more firearms. 

Nearly half of American households include at least one gun owner, compared to 39% in 2011. American manufacturers produced more than 9.3 million firearms in 2015, up from 3.9 million in 2007. There are more than 5.2 million National Firearms Act “firearms” registered, up from 2.85 million in December 2010. 

The monthly NICS numbers may not always set a new record. They may sometimes set the record for a particular month, like last month did, or they may pale in comparison to the busiest month ever. Getting caught up in the month-to-month points doesn’t allow one to appreciate the big picture. 

 

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California: Governor Brown Signs Remaining Anti-Gun Bill

Sunday, October 15, 2017

California: Governor Brown Signs Remaining Anti-Gun Bill

Yesterday, Governor Brown signed Assembly Bill 424, the remaining anti-gun bill on his desk. 

Bad News For “Universal” Background Check Supporters

News  

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Bad News For “Universal” Background Check Supporters

NRATV Host Cam Edwards describes a study that shows the ineffectiveness of so-called “universal” background checks

Illinois: Urgent Action Needed – Numerous Anti-Gun Bills Readied for Consideration Next Week

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Illinois: Urgent Action Needed – Numerous Anti-Gun Bills Readied for Consideration Next Week

Today, multiple gun control bills were released by the House Rules Committee and have been referred to the House Judiciary Committee for a hearing.

Oregon: Governor Signs Anti-Gun Bill into Law

Thursday, August 17, 2017

Oregon: Governor Signs Anti-Gun Bill into Law

Yesterday, Governor Kate Brown signed Senate Bill 719A.  Based on a California law enacted in 2014, SB 719A will create a so-called “Extreme Risk Protection Order” (ERPO) that could be obtained by a law enforcement ...

Spokane Police To Use Suppressors To Protect Hearing

News  

Monday, October 16, 2017

Spokane Police To Use Suppressors To Protect Hearing

The Spokane PD has 181 service rifles in its inventory; using suppressors on them has the potential to reduce workers compensation claims and lawsuits from bystanders.

Alleged Sexual Predator and Hollywood Mogul Harvey Weinstein Threatens NRA (Again)

News  

Friday, October 13, 2017

Alleged Sexual Predator and Hollywood Mogul Harvey Weinstein Threatens NRA (Again)

On October 5, the New York Times published an article titled, “Harvey Weinstein Paid Off Sexual Harassment Accusers for Decades.” The piece detailed allegations that the mogul used his position of influence to make unwanted ...

Gun Banners Unmasked: The Vengeful Face of the Anti-gun Agenda Emerges Once Again

News  

Second Amendment  

Friday, October 13, 2017

Gun Banners Unmasked: The Vengeful Face of the Anti-gun Agenda Emerges Once Again

What happens to the 400 million or so firearms already in private hands? How does society actually benefit from his plan? Stephens doesn’t say. He apparently just trusts that things would eventually work themselves out ...

“Death by a Thousand Cuts” – Latest Ninth Circuit decision proclaims “selling firearms is not part or parcel of the right to keep and bear arms”

Second Amendment  

Friday, October 13, 2017

“Death by a Thousand Cuts” – Latest Ninth Circuit decision proclaims “selling firearms is not part or parcel of the right to keep and bear arms”

Since the U.S. Supreme Court handed down its landmark rulings in District of Columbia v. Heller and McDonald v. Chicago, lower courts across the country have expressed their disagreement with – or downright hostility to ...

California: Governor Vetoes Dealer Storage Bill and Signs Open Carry Ban

Saturday, October 14, 2017

California: Governor Vetoes Dealer Storage Bill and Signs Open Carry Ban

Yesterday, Governor Brown took action on two of the remaining three anti-gun bills by vetoing Senate Bill 464 and signing Assembly Bill 7. 

Shall-Issue Concealed Carry Coming Soon to the Nation’s Capital!

News  

Second Amendment  

Friday, October 13, 2017

Shall-Issue Concealed Carry Coming Soon to the Nation’s Capital!

It’s important to celebrate that law-abiding Americans are now closer than they have been in nearly half a century to being able to exercise their firearms freedom in our nation’s capital. That is real progress.

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NRA ILA

Established in 1975, the Institute for Legislative Action (ILA) is the "lobbying" arm of the National Rifle Association of America. ILA is responsible for preserving the right of all law-abiding individuals in the legislative, political, and legal arenas, to purchase, possess and use firearms for legitimate purposes as guaranteed by the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.