Explore The NRA Universe Of Websites

APPEARS IN News Second Amendment

The Privilege of Misconstruing Data

Friday, March 23, 2018

The Privilege of Misconstruing Data

Earlier this month, the head of Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America (Shannon Watts, not benefactor Michael Bloomberg) brutally dismissed an op-ed in the New York Times by Bethany Mandel as an anecdote of fear and paranoia. 

The anecdote? As a young girl, a home intruder climbing through her bedroom window threatened Mandel. Her mother used a firearm to defend her. More recently, Mandel routinely received death threats for her political commentary and was doxxed by neo-Nazis – which led her to obtain a firearms permit in her home state of New Jersey. In other words, Ms. Mandel was literally saved by a firearm as a child and obtained a firearms permit to protect herself and her own child after neo-Nazis published her home address. Ms. Watts chalked Ms. Mandel’s efforts to protect herself from the very real threats as privilege:

 

Watts seems to be referencing CDC data from a 1993 study led by Arthur Kellerman that concludes, “Rather than confer protection, guns kept in the home are associated with an increase in the risk of homicide by a family member or intimate acquaintance.”

This study focused on different time periods in three counties in three different states, none of which is as diverse as the country itself. Researchers canvassed the neighborhoods of murder victims in these counties to find someone who roughly matched the victim’s demographic profile (age, sex, and race) to use as a control and interviewed relatives of the actual murder victims. 

Methodological concerns include biases, ignorance of relatives’ criminal behavior, coverage issues, and even the possibility that canvassers may have avoided going to certain houses if they felt uneasy or frightened. Often overlooked is the finding is that renting and living alone provide the second highest odds of being murdered (illicit drug use is first).  

Perhaps the most glaring issue is that only cases that resulted in a fatality were included. Non-fatal defensive gun uses were by intent excluded. Noted criminologists Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz found in their 1995 study Armed Resistance to Crime: The Prevalence and Nature of Self-Defense with a Gun that only about 4.5% of defensive gun uses involved the defender firing a weapon at a perpetrator (note: this is not the number of defensive gun uses that resulted in a fatality). In total, only 24% of defensive gun uses involved shots fired – meaning Kellerman et al. focused on a minority of all defensive gun uses. Kleck validates this estimate by noting that the National Crime Victimization Survey found that 17% of gun crimes involve the offender shooting the victim.

But Ms. Watts happily throws a false claim of CDC data at a woman who wants only to protect her child from a very real threat. If Ms. Watts really wanted to use the Kellerman study to guide Ms. Mandel’s choices regarding her safety, she should urge Mandel to neither rent nor live alone – both of which are, according to the flawed Kellerman study that Watts relies upon, substantially more dangerous than keeping a firearm in the home.

TRENDING NOW
Activist Court Turns the Law Designed to Protect the Firearm Industry from Frivolous Lawsuits on its Head

News  

Friday, March 15, 2019

Activist Court Turns the Law Designed to Protect the Firearm Industry from Frivolous Lawsuits on its Head

On Thursday, the Connecticut Supreme Court created a dangerous new exception to the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act (PLCAA), a strong safeguard for our right to keep and bear arms.  

Yesterday’s Scandal, Today’s Mandate: Anti-gunner Embraces Operation Choke Point as Official Policy

News  

Wednesday, March 13, 2019

Yesterday’s Scandal, Today’s Mandate: Anti-gunner Embraces Operation Choke Point as Official Policy

On Tuesday, U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY) unabashedly embraced the tactics behind one of the most shameful policies of the Obama era, openly using the guise of her federal authority to berate and not so ...

Canada’s Senate Holds Hearings on “Rube Goldberg” Gun Control Law, Bill C-71

News  

Friday, March 15, 2019

Canada’s Senate Holds Hearings on “Rube Goldberg” Gun Control Law, Bill C-71

Last month, the Senate Standing Committee on National Security and Defence (SECD) concluded two days of hearings on Bill C-71, the Liberal government’s gun control bill. (An additional hearing date has been set for March 18, ...

Governor Bevin Signs NRA-backed Constitutional Carry

News  

Monday, March 11, 2019

Governor Bevin Signs NRA-backed Constitutional Carry

The NRA applauds Kentucky Governor Matt Bevin for signing Senate Bill 150 into law, an NRA-backed bill that fully recognizes the constitutional right of law-abiding gun owners to carry a concealed firearm.

Levi’s Teams with Billionaire Michael Bloomberg to Attack Gun Rights

News  

Friday, September 7, 2018

Levi’s Teams with Billionaire Michael Bloomberg to Attack Gun Rights

Levi Strauss & Co. established its brand in the mid-19th century by selling durable clothing to working-class Americans. As Levi’s signature jeans gained popularity amongst a wider set in the middle of the last century, ...

Washington: Gun Ban Bills Fail Crossover Deadline

Wednesday, March 13, 2019

Washington: Gun Ban Bills Fail Crossover Deadline

Today, March 13th at 5:00PM, was the cutoff deadline for all bills to be voted out of the chamber in which they originated.

Nevada: Omnibus Anti-Gun Bill Introduced, Legislator Bill Introduction Deadline Extended

Monday, March 18, 2019

Nevada: Omnibus Anti-Gun Bill Introduced, Legislator Bill Introduction Deadline Extended

Today, Assembly Bill 291 was introduced by Assemblywoman Sandra Jauregui (D-41).  This omnibus anti-gun legislation is a threat to both gun owners residing in Nevada and those who are visiting. 

Kentucky Governor Welcomes NRA to Bill Signing Ceremony

News  

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Kentucky Governor Welcomes NRA to Bill Signing Ceremony

Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin welcomed NRA-ILA Executive Director Chris W. Cox to a ceremonial bill signing for SB 150, an NRA-backed bill that fully recognizes the constitutional right of law-abiding gun owners to carry a concealed ...

Wednesday, March 13, 2019

Florida Alert! Moms Demand Action Publicly Criticized for INACCURATE Testimony

On Tuesday, March 12, 2019, two bills supported by NRA & USF were heard and overwhelmingly passed in the House Criminal Justice Committee.  Ms. Shannon Guse, speaking on behalf of Moms Demand Action, made patently false ...

MORE TRENDING +
LESS TRENDING -

More Like This From Around The NRA

NRA ILA

Established in 1975, the Institute for Legislative Action (ILA) is the "lobbying" arm of the National Rifle Association of America. ILA is responsible for preserving the right of all law-abiding individuals in the legislative, political, and legal arenas, to purchase, possess and use firearms for legitimate purposes as guaranteed by the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.